Truck OEMs to adopt advanced diesel engine technology by 2030 to comply with emission regulations
2.37 million powertrain units are expected to be sold globally by 2030 that will include 1.8 million units of diesel powertrain and 0.57 million units of xEV, finds Frost & Sullivan
SANTA CLARA, Calif. — Frost & Sullivan’s recent analysis, Truck OEM Strategies for GHG/CO2 Regulation Compliance, 2020-2030, finds that the adoption of stringent emission regulations across regions to safeguard the environment is a prominent factor transforming the commercial trucks industry. Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are exploring advanced internal combustion engine (ICE) concepts, energy recovery systems, advanced aerodynamics, and cutting-edge driver assistance systems to improve fuel efficiency.
Globally, 2.37 million powertrain units are expected to be sold by 2030 that will include 1.8 million units of diesel powertrain, 0.57 million units of xEV (which includes hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery-electric, and fuel cell electric vehicles), and natural gas powertrains.
“Innovation in environmental sustainability and digitization are taking center stage. As a result, connected, shared, autonomous, and electric (CASE) are driving the transformation in the commercial trucking industry,” said Saideep Sudhakar, Research Manager, Mobility Practice, Frost & Sullivan in a statement. “Among these, connected and shared, and are in the nascent stage. The next 5-7 years will foresee a strong proliferation of electric trucks. Autonomous will emerge in the next decade; however, the adoption of advanced safety systems is already acting as a precursor. This transformation toward CASE will help achieve a cleaner and safer environment.”
Sudhakar added: “In the wake of stringent fuel efficiency norms and greenhouse gas (GHG) / CO2 emissions regulations. OEMs are evaluating a combination of advanced engine combustion technologies and energy recovery strategies, spanning advanced aerodynamics, auxiliary electrification high-efficiency transmission, innovative driver assistance systems, and low rolling resistance tires. ”
These changes in the commercial truck industry will present lucrative growth prospects for market participants, such as:
- With strict emission regulations in various regions, advanced transmission, aerodynamics, advanced boosting, and auxiliary electrification will gain prominence in diesel trucks.
- Modular EV platforms and flexible manufacturing will help OEMs adapt to the electrification trend.
- European OEMs are shifting to vertically integrated engines and transmissions with proprietary turbochargers to attain precise control over engine mapping and vehicle drivetrain. Proprietary NG engines and EV platforms form a part of the OEMs’ powertrain diversification.